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4 mentions found


☆ 'We are still in a market bubble': A famed economist who called the 2008 recession warns the S&P 500 is as vulnerable as it was before its 25% fall in 2022 — and shares 3 signs of hidden weakness
  + stars: | 2024-03-16 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +6 min
Just because the current valuation backdrop isn't as extreme as 1999-2000, we are still in a market bubble, and valuations are even more stretched today than they were at the market peaks in 2007, 1990, and 1980." Rosenberg ResearchSecond, the S&P 500 is outperforming the HYG/TLT Ratio. AdvertisementRosenberg ResearchAnd third, even tech stocks, which have been overwhelmingly supporting the S&P 500, appear to be running out of gas, Rosenberg said. The same goes for Paul Dietrich, the chief strategist at B. Riley Wealth, who says the S&P 500 could fall 49% when the current bubble pops. The bull market has thrown egg onto their faces again and again: since the October 2022 lows, the S&P 500 is up a whopping 42%.
Persons: —, David Rosenberg isn't, Merrill Lynch, Rosenberg, he's, manias, HYG, Michael Hartnett, Jeremy Grantham, Paul Dietrich, Riley Wealth, Dietrich, Grantham, Carol Schleif Organizations: Service, Rosenberg Research, Business, Equity Model, Dow Jones, Dow Transports Index, Bank of America's, Bank, America, BMO Family Office
☆ 'We've reached a new level of narcissism': Long-time bear David Rosenberg explains why a recession is still coming — and names 7 investments that can save investors from the pain
  + stars: | 2023-09-23 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +7 min
Rosenberg continued: "But it's a false debate because the choice isn't between a soft landing and a recession. Consumers are the lifeblood of the US economy, and if they're forced to cut back on spending, Rosenberg thinks growth would quickly turn negative. Investors nervous about the economy should target stocks in four defensive parts of the market, Rosenberg said: consumer staples, healthcare, telecommunications, and utilities. "As growth is scarce, you want to own what's scarce, so you want to own growth stocks," Rosenberg said. "I'm probably much more bullish on growth than I am on value because value is very cyclical, and growth stocks tend to be valued on a longer-term earnings profile."
Persons: David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, we've, Rosenberg isn't, hasn't, nonfarm payrolls, that's, Uncle Sam, " Rosenberg, they're, couldn't, he's, he'd Organizations: Federal Reserve, Rosenberg Research, Technology, Fed Locations: YOLO
☆ Famed economist David Rosenberg says home prices are set to fall further as buyers retreat to the sidelines and a hawkish Fed means stubbornly high mortgage rates
  + stars: | 2023-05-26 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +5 min
With mortgage rates unlikely to budge and incomes unlikely to grow, prices are due to drop. Housing affordability is calculated by accounting for three variables: home prices, mortgage rates, and incomes. Ian Shepherdson, the chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics who said in the 2005 that a housing downturn would spark a recession, made the same argument in recent weeks. Now that's quite striking because mortgage rates are no longer at peak, but applications are still falling. This would send interest rates — and therefore mortgage rates, which trade closely with Treasury rates — higher, further hurting demand and affordability, Moody's Chief Economist Mark Zandi recently told Fortune.
☆ Veteran economist David Rosenberg said there's 'not a snowball's chance in hell' that he'll get bullish on US stocks until this key event happens — and he's investing in these 6 assets in the meantime
  + stars: | 2023-01-05 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +5 min
"The theme for 2023 is not recovery," Rosenberg said in a recent interview with Insider. But Rosenberg believes that the biggest sign that stocks can recover will be a bond market rally. "I think that there's not a snowball's chance in hell that we will get a bottom in the stock market without there being in advance a rally in the bond market," Rosenberg said. Rosenberg continued: "Bond yields have to come down to reestablish the equity risk premium. Outside of stocks, Rosenberg said he recommends a barbell of gold bullion and bonds.
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